In brief
The United States’ iconic American Dream, once a magnet for immigrants, is now a contested idea. Abdi Nor Iftin’s journey—born a Somali refugee and later a diversity visa winner—highlights the plight of many who now confront job loss and health insurance gaps. Public polls show only about a third of Americans still believe the Dream thrives, especially among youth, while older citizens and some immigrants cling to optimism. The dream’s roots in the 1931 narrative, its exclusionary history, and policy shifts like Trump’s immigration clampdown have all contributed to its decline. Yet a silver line remains: many believe the Dream can be rekindled for the next 250 years through renewed optimism and policy reform.
In 2013, a Somali woman named Abdi Nor Iftin embarked on the long‑awaited journey to America, earning a diversity visa in a lottery that granted U.S. citizenship to 50,000 of almost eight million hopefuls.
After a successful arrival in Maine, Abdi worked installing insulation and later obtained U.S. citizenship. Yet loss of a refugee‑resettlement agency job has stripped him of health insurance and shaken his belief in the American Dream.
Less than a year into America’s 250th birthday, a flurry of polls shows that only a third of the public still feels the Dream is alive, with youth even more cynical. A 2026 Associated Press‑NORC survey matched the Pew Research finding: the Dream is “fading.”
The Dream’s original myth, outlined in James Truslow Adams’ 1931 book The Epic of America, promised social order and limitless opportunity. Yet the ideal never included everyone—Native Americans, enslaved Peoples or women—yet it continued to thrive in cultural rhetoric.
Globalisation, wage stagnation from the 1970s, the 2008 financial crisis and shifting immigration policies—including President Trump’s curbs on the diversity visa—have eroded the Dream’s promise of upward mobility. Today, the promise that hard work and obeying the law will lead to a comfortable life is more contested than ever.
Immigrant Experience and Reality
Despite the decline, many first‑generation immigrants remain optimistic. Studies suggest that immigrants from less affluent countries believe they will achieve more in America than they could have in their homeland, especially for their children.
Abdi’s brother, unable to immigrate due to visa restrictions, recently naturalised in Canada. “Better healthcare in Canada,” he jokes, yet Abdi concedes he would still choose the U.S. if given a chance again.
The Role of Hollywood
Hollywood has long symbolised the Dream. Yet the past decade saw a slump in studio investment and a shift to Canadian film projects, prompting actors like Luke Mullen to consider relocation for better career prospects.
Mullen, who once starred in Disney’s Andi Mack, now claims Canada’s tax credits have made Vancouver a viable film hub, although he still sees America as home.
Staying or Leaving America
Reports show a historic surge in Americans seeking citizenship in the U.K. and the EU. A rise in U.S. emigrants is signalled by more Americans applying for British passports and moving to various EU states.
Uncertainty around healthcare costs, job security and political climate drives many to leave, while some remain hopeful, backed by polls showing 61% still believing in the Dream’s continuing power.
Future Outlook
Sociologists like Mark Rank argue the Dream is still alive, albeit conditionally; it offers a chance to rethink accessibility for all. Whether American optimism can revive the Dream is left to policy makers, public faith and the next generation’s hopes.
